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	<title>Comments on: How We Got Here: J-Curve vs. Hype Cycle</title>
	<link>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/</link>
	<description>Personal Soap Box of a Gen-Dot</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 07:58:17 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>by: will</title>
		<link>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2946</link>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Feb 2009 19:59:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2946</guid>
					<description>new years resolution: write more to impress Cranky Product Manager who looks good in jeans :)  (fyi, its not really her in the picture) . . . seriously though major props to cranky pm for building a &quot;brand&quot; !</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>new years resolution: write more to impress Cranky Product Manager who looks good in jeans <img src='http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/wp-images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' />   (fyi, its not really her in the picture) . . . seriously though major props to cranky pm for building a &#8220;brand&#8221; !
</p>
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		<title>by: The Cranky Product Manager</title>
		<link>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2938</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Dec 2008 22:41:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2938</guid>
					<description>Hey - love your blog. You are a very engaging writer. The Cranky Product Manager wants to link to you and send some of her 2500 regular readers your way, but are you even still posting?

Or are you depressed about the election still?  ;-)  (ow!)

- CPM</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Hey - love your blog. You are a very engaging writer. The Cranky Product Manager wants to link to you and send some of her 2500 regular readers your way, but are you even still posting?</p>
	<p>Or are you depressed about the election still?  <img src='http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/wp-images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' />   (ow!)</p>
	<p>- CPM
</p>
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		<title>by: Nemo</title>
		<link>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2934</link>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2008 16:58:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://hitchhiker.blogsome.com/2008/10/31/how-we-got-here-j-curve-vs-hype-cycle/#comment-2934</guid>
					<description>Answer... 8.5~9yrs (median time from initial equity to IPO is 8.3 yrs. Source: DJ VentureSource Q3 08 survey)

Answer... 
Exit #1: 2~4x, 50~150% IRR (assuming 1.5~2yr hold, 1~2 rounds)
Exit #2: 2~4x, 30~70% IRR (assuming 3~5yr hold, 2~3 rounds) 
Exit #3: 10~100x, 30~70% IRR

Answer... Exit #1.  can you say cetacean celebrity?
</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[	<p>Answer&#8230; 8.5~9yrs (median time from initial equity to IPO is 8.3 yrs. Source: DJ VentureSource Q3 08 survey)</p>
	<p>Answer&#8230;<br />
Exit #1: 2~4x, 50~150% IRR (assuming 1.5~2yr hold, 1~2 rounds)<br />
Exit #2: 2~4x, 30~70% IRR (assuming 3~5yr hold, 2~3 rounds)<br />
Exit #3: 10~100x, 30~70% IRR</p>
	<p>Answer&#8230; Exit #1.  can you say cetacean celebrity?
</p>
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